Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.004545 0.004999 0.005488 0.006056 0.006700 0.007408 0.008251
2025-08-17 0.003820 0.004451 0.005183 0.006102 0.007233 0.008592 0.010371
2025-08-24 0.003359 0.004061 0.004913 0.006039 0.007507 0.009383 0.012012
2025-08-31 0.002976 0.003699 0.004609 0.005860 0.007564 0.009853 0.013247
2025-09-07 0.002739 0.003488 0.004460 0.005843 0.007805 0.010565 0.014880
2025-09-14 0.002615 0.003406 0.004464 0.006021 0.008320 0.011701 0.017280
2025-09-21 0.002417 0.003204 0.004281 0.005910 0.008391 0.012178 0.018715
2025-09-28 0.002246 0.003024 0.004112 0.005796 0.008438 0.012610 0.020120
2025-10-05 0.002126 0.002907 0.004022 0.005789 0.008641 0.013303 0.022067
2025-10-12 0.002052 0.002849 0.004010 0.005897 0.009034 0.014349 0.024814
2025-10-19 0.001939 0.002726 0.003891 0.005821 0.009111 0.014855 0.026612
2025-10-26 0.001853 0.002637 0.003817 0.005812 0.009296 0.015567 0.028935
2025-11-02 0.001756 0.002529 0.003711 0.005749 0.009396 0.016167 0.031205
2025-11-09 0.001689 0.002464 0.003669 0.005791 0.009694 0.017189 0.034630
2025-11-16 0.001607 0.002370 0.003574 0.005733 0.009796 0.017834 0.037324
2025-11-23 0.001511 0.002247 0.003424 0.005564 0.009669 0.017991 0.038879
2025-11-30 0.001452 0.002181 0.003362 0.005549 0.009837 0.018789 0.042218
2025-12-07 0.001429 0.002173 0.003399 0.005716 0.010387 0.020498 0.048398
2025-12-14 0.001362 0.002087 0.003296 0.005612 0.010366 0.020916 0.051100
2025-12-21 0.001299 0.002006 0.003196 0.005505 0.010331 0.021293 0.053782
2025-12-28 0.001256 0.001956 0.003149 0.005498 0.010507 0.022203 0.058347
2026-01-04 0.001233 0.001938 0.003157 0.005599 0.010932 0.023794 0.065588
2026-01-11 0.001185 0.001877 0.003082 0.005529 0.010961 0.024378 0.069623